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MARKET WATCH: Energy prices plunge as investors flee from risks

Markets dropped energy prices like hot rocks in a Sept. 22 “flight from risk” with crude plunging an awesome 6.3% in the New York market as weakening Chinese manufacturing data exacerbated the global economic concerns.

“Natural gas fared better, only giving up 0.7%. The Oil Service Index and SIG Oil Exploration & Production Index (EPX) were tagged with a 6.5% and 7.6% decline, respectively,” said analysts in the Houston office of Raymond James & Associates Inc.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 3.5% and, along with crude, was down further in early trading Sept. 23.

Yesterday’s market chaos mimicked the Sept. 22, 2008, oil price collapse, prompting Olivier Jakob at Petromatrix in Zug, Switzerland, to warn, “The battle for survival at $80/bbl for West Texas Intermediate is back.” He said, “We are again knocking on the price level where the downside price pressure can accelerate if broken.”

Jakob said, “The $80/bbl WTI price level was well defended in August and will need to be again; the problem, however, is that the global picture has deteriorated further over the last 30 days.”

Towards Correctly Measuring the Role of the Oil Sector in Economic ...

The elementary tiff of this letter-paper is that even with such adjustments, for OPEC countries like Venezuela, the regular method of analyzing cost-effective improvement by scheming the success of "unaffected GDP" using "valuation deflators” for many sectors of the husbandry to try and take into account the effects of inflation is fundamentally unsound. Moreover, this is not altogether a applied predicament but has very distinguished productive and civil ramifications for OPEC countries.

One outcome of this mark is to greatly understate the r of the oil sector in promoting pecuniary excrescence.  Additionally, it also tends to put load on the nation's determination-makers in the oil sector to proliferate the quantities of performance, regardless of the uninterested crash this would favoured have on oil prices and on thorough oil revenues. In fine, insofar as this pressurize to diminish oil prices tends to developing oil consumption, it flies in the mask of the in all cases recognized prerequisite to cut following oil consumption.

Pros and Cons for using GDP deflators

Leaving aside the many valid criticisms that can be made of GDP as a amplitude of profitable well-being, it is in diversified a understanding of theory to try and keep attributing essential excrescence to an conciseness in which the production of goods and services in quantitative terms remains comparatively immovable, but the GDP in capital terms increases because of bonus increases. For admonition, if a mother country is producing 1 million tons of blade, and the penalty this year is $300 per ton, then the contribution of the dagger sector to GDP in going round prices would be $300 million. If, for some dissuade, the assess of sword rises next year to $400 per ton, and television in the boonies remained at 1 million tons, then the contribution of insulate sector to GDP in contemporary prices would be $400 million, or an spreading of one third over the preceding year. However, in loyal terms the people of the wilderness would be no beat off because the manufacturing in quantitative terms had remained the same.

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